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FOREIGN EXCHANGE OUTLOOK

reported by Craig Russell

 

Foreign Exchange Today

April 21, 2005

Rally not over for the EURO

The market took a benign CPI as another opportunity to drive the single currency lower, testing 1.2995 (rumored 1.30 DNT). Then as soon as this was triggered the Euro began to rally on short covering, soverign demand (6 bio euro Spanish debt auction) and a rumored 1.31 one touch option.

 

 

Level

 

 R4

1.3210

61.8% retrace of 1.3480-1.2770

R3

1.3150

10-Dec low / 25-Feb low

R2

1.3125

50% retrace of 1.3480-1.2770

R1

1.3105

3-day rising res line area

 

S1

1.3035

Hourly low

S2

1.2985

19-Apr low

S3

1.2965

18-Apr hourly dip low / 38.2% of 1.2770-1.3080

S4

1.2940

15-Apr high

 

 

Key Fibonacci Levels in the EURO are as follows.

 

38.2% - 1.3045

50.0% - 1.3125

61.8% - 1.3195

 

 

Tommorrow’s Events

 

 

Craig H Russell
Senior Foreign Exchange Dealer
www.alaronfx.com
 312.563.8292  Desk
 630.649.8645  Mobile
 800.252.3421  Freephone

 


Periodically, the writer issues specific recommendations for those on his e-mailing list  For those who do not have an account with AlaronFX and would like the personal attention and trade Forex with Osman Ghandour, give him a call at (1-800-688-6377) or e-mail him at oghandour@alaron.com.

 

Forex Spot Rates
Click to Enlarge
Week Month Year 3 Years

20-Apr-05

 

Last

Change

EUR/USD

1.3073 0.0041

USD/JPY

106.8000 0.0700

GBP/USD

1.9181 -0.0010

USD/CHF This marker indicates the current chart.

1.1800 0.0007

USD/CAD

1.2386 0.0012

AUD/USD

0.7754 0.0062

USD/NZD

0.7271 0.0030

EUR/JPY

139.6600 0.1500

EUR/GBP

1.4678 -0.0032

EUR/CHF

1.5430 0.0008

sources: DTN Market Access, theFinancials.com

© theFinancials.com

World Market Update
Click to Enlarge
Week Month Year 3 Years

20-Apr-05

 

Last

Chg

NASDAQ This marker indicates the current chart.

1938.34 5.98

S&P 500

1150.61 -2.17

Nikkei

11088.58 22.72

Gold USD 1oz-comex

434.40 6.90

Silver-comex

7.2500 0.2050

delayed 20+ minutes
source: DTN Market Access

© theFinancials.com

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DISCLAIMER: Commentary and market information is provided for informational purposes only. The information contained in this report is gathered from reputable sources and is not intended to be used as investment advice. AlaronFX and theFinancials.com assume no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.